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The Full Financial Picture: Month-by-Month Arbitrage Reality

The Full Financial Picture: Month-by-Month Arbitrage Reality

Case Study: Bahria Town Islamabad Arbitrage Operation

This case study is based on a verified operation in Bahria Town Phase 7, Islamabad, run by a 28-year-old operator we'll call Saad. He signed a 12-month lease on a furnished 1BR apartment in October 2023 and agreed to share his numbers for this curriculum.

The Setup Costs

ItemCost (PKR)Notes
Advance rent (3 months)195,0002 months advance + 1 month security
Additional furnishing upgrade85,000Property was semi-furnished; added bed, AC, kitchen set
Professional photography9,00020 photos, 3-hour session
Consumables initial stock12,000Linens, towels, kitchen, bathroom supplies
Listing setup tools4,000Ring doorbell, key lockbox
Total Startup CostPKR 305,000

Monthly Operating Costs (Average)

ExpenseMonthly (PKR)
Rent65,000
Electricity (heavy summer months)14,000–22,000
Gas1,500–4,000
Internet (PTCL fibre)3,500
Cleaning (avg 1.8 turnovers/week)16,000
Consumables replenishment4,500
Platform fees (avg 15%)Variable
Maintenance reserve6,000
Fixed Monthly CostPKR 110,500–118,500

Revenue Performance (Year One)

MonthOccupancyAvg Nightly RateGross RevenueNet Profit
Oct 2023 (Launch)42%PKR 5,200PKR 65,520PKR -48,000 (launch investment)
Nov 202355%PKR 5,500PKR 90,750PKR -18,000
Dec 202368%PKR 6,800PKR 142,800PKR 18,000
Jan–Mar 2024 (avg)63%PKR 5,900PKR 111,870PKR 8,400
Apr–Jun 2024 (avg)71%PKR 6,400PKR 136,320PKR 22,800
Jul–Sep 2024 (avg)58%PKR 5,800PKR 100,920PKR -2,400 (summer utilities spike)
Oct 2024 (Year 2 launch)76%PKR 7,200PKR 164,160PKR 38,000

Year One Summary

  • Total gross revenue: PKR 1,386,000
  • Total operating costs: PKR 1,320,000
  • Net year-one profit: PKR 66,000
  • Startup cost recovery: PKR 305,000 still to be recovered in Year 2
  • Break-even on startup: Achieved month 9 of Year 2
📊 Honest Assessment: Year one was a learning investment, not a profit centre. This is the reality most arbitrage "gurus" don't show. By Year 2, with reviews established, pricing optimised, and operations efficient, Saad's same property earned PKR 450,000 net — 6.8x the Year 1 net profit.
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